2025 Heisman Trophy Odds: Betting, Futures, Top Candidates in Week 11, including Sayin, Mendoza, Pavia

Honorable Mentions

Jeremiah Smith, Ohio State Buckeyes (+2500)

Next Game: Saturday 1 PM ET at Purdue
Last Game: Bye Week
Season Stats: 55 receptions, 725 yards, 13.2 ypc, 10 total TDs

Jeremiah Smith caught an incredible tipped touchdown pass from Julian Sayin to cap off a Buckeyes blowout over the Nittany Lions. Smith and Jeremiyah Love are duking it out for the rights to a Heisman in a year filled with quarterbacks that have a case.

Smith’s case is pretty strong, but maybe not as strong as the quarterback throwing him the ball. Smith has caught 55 passes for 725 yards and nine touchdowns (10 total). He has scored in six out of eight games and scored twice in four. Even if Smith is able to have a three-touchdown performance in a game, Sayin will receive a lot of the credit, so I am losing faith in Smith’s path despite his dominant showings.

Gunner Stockton, Georgia Bulldogs (+2200)

Next Game: Saturday 12 PM ET vs Mississippi State
Last Game: 223 passing yards on 20/29, 2 TDs, 1 INT vs Florida (24-20 win)
Season Stats: 1,776 passing yards, 290 rushing yards, 19 total TDs, 2 INTs

Gunner Stockton turned in an iffy stat line against Florida with two touchdowns, one interception on 20-for-29 passing and a season-worst 11 rushing yards on 13 carries. The 24-20 win marked the fourth time the Bulldogs’ offense has scored fewer than 30 points this year and third in the past five games.

Georgia plays four straight weekends to close the season out starting with a trip to Mississippi State before two consecutive at home versus Texas and Charlotte. The Bulldogs also end the season with a neutral field game versus Georgia Tech, but those matchups may not be high profile enough to jump Sayin, Simpson, Reed, and the others for the award since Texas and Georgia Tech have three combined losses.

Trinidad Chambliss, Ole Miss Rebels (+2500)

Next Game: Saturday 1 PM ET vs The Citadel
Last Game: 158 passing yards, 59 rushing yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT vs South Carolina (30-14 win)
Season Stats: 2,023 passing yards, 435 rushing yards, 16 total TDs, 2 INTs

Ole Miss didn’t have many problems against South Carolina and shouldn’t versus The Citadel (FCS), but Trinidad Chambliss’ Heisman case might have some holes in it. There’s no denying his impact, but the stats haven’t reflected a Heisman winners’.

Chambliss turned in a modest stat line of 159 passing yards, 59 rushing yards, two touchdowns, and an interception versus South Carolina. That performance marked the third-straight game he completed less than 60% of his passes and also the third-consecutive outing he’s posted one passing touchdown. The same can be said for four of the last five games.

CJ Carr, Notre Dame Fighting Irish (+6000)

Next Game: Saturday 7:30 PM ET vs Navy
Last Game: 299 passing yards on 18/25. 2 TDs vs Boston College (25-10 win)
Season Stats: 2,057 passing yards, 66.5 comp %, 18 total TDs, 4 INTs

CJ Carr came out of the bye week playing mistake-free football for Notre Dame. The Irish picked up their sixth-consecutive win and Carr went 18-of-25 for 299 yards and two touchdowns. It was Carr’s third game of 300-plus total yards (had 12 rushing yards vs BC).

Despite being excellent as a true freshman, Carr’s case is not nearly as strong as Mendoza, Sayin, Simpson, or Reed’s, nor are the opponents they have beat, so it’s hard to see Carr having a path, especially with his running back in the race.

Stock Up

Julian Sayin, Ohio State Buckeyes (+175)

Next Game: Saturday 1 PM ET at Purdue
Last Game: 316 passing yards on 20/23, 4 Passing TDs vs Penn State (38-14 win)
Season Stats: 2,188 passing yards, 80.7 comp %, 23 TDs, 3 INTs

As stated earlier, no one is hotter than Julian Sayin. Since the Texas win and his first career start, Sayin has averaged 294.5 passing yards, 3.1 passing touchdowns to 0.42 interceptions per game with a remarkable 82.8 completion percentage (164/198).

Purdue, UCLA, and Rutgers remain before the big rivalry game against Michigan. Ohio State has a nice three-game stretch for Sayin to build off his eight passing touchdowns and 709 yards in the last two games.

Stock Down

Diego Pavia, Vanderbilt Commodores (+3000)

Next Game: Saturday 4 PM ET vs Auburn
Last Game: 365 passing yards, 43 rushing yards, 4 total TDs at Texas (34-31 loss)
Season Stats: 2,063 passing yards, 501 rushing yards, 24 total TDs, 5 INTs

After Vanderbilt took the loss at Texas, Diego Pavia’s Heisman campaign is over. The odds reflect that at +3000, but with Auburn, Kentucky, and Tennessee remaining — Vanderbilt could win all three games and he scores 10 total touchdowns with zero turnovers and I am confident he still won’t win.

Haynes King, Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (+6000)

Next Game: Bye Week
Last Game: 511 total yards, 4 total TDs, 1 INT at NC State (48-36 loss)
Season Stats: 1,888 passing yards, 754 rushing yards, 23 total TDs, 2 INTs

Georgia Tech is undefeated no more, so Haynes King‘s Heisman case is over. King went from +8000 to +2500 to +6000 over the last three games, so it’s been a roller coaster, but the ride is over despite a monster 511 total yards and four touchdowns in the loss at NC State.

My Heisman Picks

I picked Carson Beck and Dante Moore to pick the Heisman in the first four weeks of the season and both are over with. Last week, I added Fernando Mendoza (+260) and the Indiana Hoosiers to win the championship (+600).

As stated last week, Indiana has a smooth final month to the year. Indiana beat Maryland 55-10 and has its second back-to-back road games going to Penn State this weekend. Following Penn State, Indiana hosts Wisconsin, and ends at Purdue. Those three remaining teams are a combined 7-18.